GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Zoom Communications: 1Q27 Results: Consistent Beats & Execution
Research evidence excerpt
Zoom Communications: 1Q27 Results: Consistent Beats & Execution
d volatility data from the options market as of 21 View descriptions of Risk Rewards Themes here
May 2026. All figures are approximate risk-neutral probabilities of the stock reaching beyond the scenario price in either
three-months’ or one-years’ time. View explanation of Options Probabilities methodology here
BULL CASE $132.00 BASE CASE $105.00 BEAR CASE $71.00
16x FY28e bull FCF (~6.5x EV/FY28e Rev) 13.5x FY28e base case FCF (~5x EV/FY28e 9x FY28e bear case FCF (~3x EV/FY28e
Rev) Rev)Platform expansion and enterprise growth
take hold as SMB churn normalizes. Able to Leverages position to maintain share of Churn challenges linger and start to show in
grow closer to mid-single to high digits on growing market and brand value to sell new Enterprise; macro remains longer than
success of new products like Contact products, though macro near-term headwind expected headwind. Growth sees little
Center, expansion of Phone and Rooms to multiple / growth. Able to maintain LSD% upside as sales environment becomes more
within existing customers, and video to MSD% 2-year CAGR through FY28 as competitive with refreshed offerings from
conferencing share gains. Sees early success investments in S&M show traction and new large vendors, churn picks given weaker
towards monetizing AI. Does not see products like Phone and Contact Center see macro & competition; upsell / new product
meaningful incremental disruption from traction, expanding ARPU and helping to traction limited. Sees pricing pressure as a
competition and online stabilizes and offset lower growth in more mature product result of competition, limiting ability to
returns to growth. Using 16x FY28e bull categories (Meetings).
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