GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Genuit Group Trading Update: Challenging markets and inflation leading to c.9%/2% downgrade to FY26/FY27E Adj. EBITA
Research evidence excerpt
Genuit Group Trading Update: Challenging markets and inflation leading to c.9%/2% downgrade to FY26/FY27E Adj. EBITA
Chitrita C Sinha AC Europe Equity Research
(44-20) 7742-7176 22 May 2026 C A Z E N O V E
chitrita.sinha@jpmorgan.com
Price Performance Summary Investment Thesis and Valuation
Investment Thesis
• Increased focus on sustainability-driven markets should see
growth vs. end markets improve through-cycle with the
group targeting 2-4% outperformance.
• The group targets 20%+ adj. operating profit margins and
with the business simplification now complete, our analysis
shows that the key driver of margin improvement is
operating leverage as volumes recover. We now believe
forecasts and end markets have bottomed with some green
shoots for a recovery.
YTD 1m 3m 12m
Abs -19.9% -11.2% -31.3% -33.3% • The group views M&A as a way to expand the strategic Rel -22.0% -11.1% -27.9% -42.8%
solutions portfolio, often bringing a technology or a solution
Company Data capability that it does not have today and/or help the group
Shares O/S (mn) 248 take its current solution capability into new markets. This
52-week range (p) 408-241 could drive incremental upside to forecasts.
Market cap ($ mn) 873.63
Exchange rate 74.43 Valuation
Free float (%) 99.7%
3M ADV (mn) 1.43 Our June 2027 Price Target is based on a reverse DCF valuation.
3M ADV ($ mn) 5.7 The 12-month forward target multiple is 11.5x EV/adj. EBITA,
Volatility (90 Day) 38 applied to our 2027 forecasts and rolled six months forward. The
Index FTSE 250
BBG ANR (Buy | Hold | Sell) 7|2|0 multiple takes into account the through-cycle growth, margin,
cost of capital and asset intensity.
Key Metrics (FYE Dec)
£ in millions FY25A FY26E FY27E
Financial Estimates Performance Drivers
Revenue 602 640 683
Adj. EBITDA 124 128 144
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