GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Clas Ohlson (1K) | Reduce | Ahead of Q4 and CMD (due 3 June)
Research evidence excerpt
Clas Ohlson (1K) | Reduce | Ahead of Q4 and CMD (due 3 June)
#Earnings preview #TPchange
Release date: 22 May 2026
Company research
Reduce Clas Ohlson
Sweden | General retail Beta Profile: MCap: SEK27.9bn
Target Price: SEK360.00 (335.00) Change in TP: 7.5% Bloomberg: CLASB SS Reuters: CLASb.ST
Current Price: SEK439.80 Change in Sales: 0.1% 26E/2.9% 27E Free float 59.0%
Avg. daily volume (SEKm) 57.5 Up/downside: -18.1% Change in Adj EBIT: 0.2% 26E/4.0% 27E
YTD abs performance 45.0%
Market data: 21 May 2026 Change in Adj. EPS: 0.4% 26E/4.3% 27E
52-week high/low (SEK) 439.80/262.00
Ahead of Q4 and CMD (due 3 June) Price performance
Why this report?
Clas Ohlson will report Q4 results and host a CMD on 3 June. Our revised 440
estimates mainly reflect stronger-than-expected pre-announced sales (0.6% 420400
above forecasts) and positive FX effects from a stronger NOK (c. 40% of group 380
sales). In the seasonally small Q4 (Feb–Apr), we expect another quarter of 360340
strong earnings growth, supported by continued sales momentum and 320
further gross margin expansion. Our main concern remains valuation. Clas 300280
Ohlson now trades broadly in line with global apparel retailer H&M and 260
May 25 Nov 25 May 26
Swedish food retailer Axfood — an unusual relative valuation relationship —
while remaining the highest-valued company in our European general retail Price Stoxx Europe 600 (rebased)
coverage. We reiterate our Reduce rating and raise our TP to SEK360 (from
SEK335), reflecting somewhat higher medium-term estimates. Expectations
for another strong quarter, together with the upcoming CMD, could act as
near-term catalysts, supporting sentiment and potentially limiting the scope FY to 30/04 (SEK) 04/26E 04/27E 04/28E
Sales (bn) 12.5 13.8 14.5 for a near-term de-rating.
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