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Experian: Strong FY26, $1bn fresh buyback, new AI opportunities & 40% de-rating. Buy
Research evidence excerpt
Experian: Strong FY26, $1bn fresh buyback, new AI opportunities & 40% de-rating. Buy
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Experian
Strong FY26, $1bn fresh buyback, new AI
opportunities & 40% de-rating. Buy
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 4,600 GBp | Price: 2,710 GBp
Robust delivery in FY26 with results in line 20 May 2026
FY26 demonstrated robust execution with 11% constant fx growth and 8% organic Equity
growth including 9% in Q4. Benchmark margins increased 60bps – ahead of the medium
term framework and driving 13% constant fx EPS growth. Growth was stable across the
Key Changesquarters and broad based across geographies and verticals.
(US$) Previous Current
2026E EPS 1.80 1.81Fresh data points highlight AI revenue and cost
opportunities 2027E EPS 2.03 2.01
2028E EPS 2.30 2.21
Given ongoing questions regarding Experian’s risk/opportunity trade off in a more AI
centric world, the company has provided robust observations, we believe should assuage
Virginia Montorsi >>
some investor concerns. Key points: 1) a year of many large and complex client renewals Research Analyst
led to a 100% renewal rate, with contracts extended in scope and duration – clear MLI (UK) 44 20 7996 2921
evidence of the opportunity for deepening client dependencies and uses for the virginia.montorsi@bofa.com
company’s proprietary datasets. 2) The company has identified US$15bn of AI-enabled Tim Ramskill, CFA >>
market opportunities, in Health, agentic commerce, Ascend platform expansion and Research Analyst MLI (UK)
embedded consumer marketplaces. 3) Efficiency gains are being harvested as +44 20 7996 3050
highlighted by a more than 300bps reduction in labour costs as a % of revenues in just 2 tim.ramskill@bofa.com
years.
New FY27 estimates capture 7% organic growth, 50bps of Stock Data
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