GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Dürr (AO) | Buy | CFO succession finally clarified
Research evidence excerpt
Dürr (AO) | Buy | CFO succession finally clarified
Dürr Buy | Target Price: EUR28.00
Company description Management
Duerr is a play on automation capex. In the future, the group will focus on Dr Jochen Weyrauch, CEO
automation of production processes via three pillars: Automotive, Industrial Dietmar Heinrich, CFO
Automation, and Homag (woodworking). While the group will still be a
conglomerate, albeit a streamlined one, this new structure will enable cost and Key shareholders
sales synergies, streamlined structures, and enhanced transparency, while also Free float 70.30%
providing additional financial leeway to support the remaining divisions through Heinz Dürr GmbH 26.20% Heinz & Heide Dürr Stiftung 3.50%
both M&A and a step-up in R&D.
Investment case Valuation methodology
Duerr shares are well below 2017 peak levels, driven by a very Our DCF (50% weight) yields a fair value per share of EUR30,
mixed operational performance. However, with the measures with a WACC of 9.7% and 2026-35E sales and EBITDA CAGRs of
taken, we believe an inflection point could be nearer. 4.6% and 5.6%.
Optimisation measures are starting to become effective and Due to a bottoming out of markets and the measures taken, we
Duerr is set to use its own global presence to exploit secular believe a 2027E target multiple of 5.0x is justified, which yields a
drivers like sustainability and the need for automation as a FVpS of EUR25.
niche market leader with a best-in-class portfolio driven by Short-term investors might focus on the multiple mix method.
innovation and digitalisation. Longer-term investors with might instead consider the DCF.
Duerr shares appear to be suffering from negative sentiment Risks to our rating
toward the automotive supplier space.
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