GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Aedifica (1K) | Buy | A fully integrated HC leader in our model
Research evidence excerpt
Aedifica (1K) | Buy | A fully integrated HC leader in our model
#EstimatesRevision
Release date: 21 May 2026
Company research
ESG profile BuyAedifica
Belgium | Property Beta Profile: MCap: EUR6.6bn Country Top Picks
Target Price: EUR86.00 Change in TP: 0.0 % Bloomberg: AED BB Reuters: AOO.BR
Current Price: EUR71.45 Change in Revenues: 74.5% 26E/88.6% 27E Free float 95%
Up/downside: 20.4% Change in Rec EBIT: 70.5% 26E/86.5% 27E Avg. daily volume (EURm) 27.8
YTD abs performance 5.9% Market data: 20 May 2026 Change in FFOps: 3.6% 26E/2.5% 27E
52-week high/low (EUR) 79.25/59.80
A fully integrated HC leader in our model Price performance
Why this report?
We integrate Cofinimmo's financial statements into Aedifica following the Q1
publication that unveiled for the first time a consolidated balance sheet and
P&L. Note that our model is built on a half-yearly basis, which means we will
still have minority interests in H1 but no more at FY, considering that the legal
merger will happen on 1 July. Most synergies will be captured over the next
18 months, while restructuring costs are difficult to estimate at this stage (but
excl. from the EPRA Earnings). A proposal for an EUR4.20 DPS could suggest a
targeted EPS of c. EUR5.25. We are currently at EUR5.42 (+4.2% vs. the initial
guidance on a standalone basis), but acknowledge this will depend on the
timing of asset arbitrage. We suspect that a lot of analysts will still have to
process the model, which means that we do not look at the consensus at the
moment. Our positive earnings revision is neutralised by a higher WACC FY to 31/12 (EUR) 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E
(+20bps), mostly linked to a higher cost of debt. Our TP is therefore Net rent (m) 662.2 749.6 761.5
NOI 607.2 689.0 698.8
unchanged while we still have c. 20% upside.
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