GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Component Signals: MLCC production: Maintain Buy on Murata and TDK on solid earnings support
Research evidence excerpt
Component Signals: MLCC production: Maintain Buy on Murata and TDK on solid earnings support
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Component Signals
MLCC production: Maintain Buy on Murata
and TDK on solid earnings support
Price Objective Change
19 May 2026
Impact of front-loaded orders became evident in Jan-Mar Equity
According to METI statistics, domestic ceramic capacitor (MLCC) production value in Japan
March 2026 declined 9% YoY and increased 14% MoM. While orders for AI servers Electronics
continue to expand, front-loaded orders likely persisted in the IT equipment market,
reflecting concerns over future price increases and material shortages. As a result, MasashiResearch AnalystKubota >>
product mix rather deteriorated. The overall ASP in March declined 23% YoY, marking a BofAS Japan
+81 3 6225 7138
significant decline for three consecutive months. Meanwhile, production volume masashi.kubota@bofa.com
increased 18% YoY and 12% MoM, which we believe contributed to higher utilization Hazel Xue >>
rates at each company. Research Analyst
BofAS Japan
hazel.xue@bofa.com
S/D balance to improve on rising high-end demand
Given that the BB ratio of major MLCC makers exceeded 1.3 in Jan-Mar 2026,
production value from Apr to Jun onward is highly likely to improve. We think a
reactionary decline from front-loaded orders, mainly for the IT equipment market, could
occur. However, production volume of small, high-capacitance and high-voltage products Exhibit 1: Maintain Buy on Murata/TDK
for AI servers is increasing, and utilization rates are rising, particularly in front-end PO of MLCC makers
processes. With tightening supply demand balance, price trends should also stabilize. Price Objective Last
Yen May 19
Maintain Buy on Murata Mfg and TDK Old New ¥
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