GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc: 1Q Preview: we think OLLI is well-positioned to deliver consistent growth
Research evidence excerpt
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc: 1Q Preview: we think OLLI is well-positioned to deliver consistent growth
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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
1Q Preview: we think OLLI is well-
positioned to deliver consistent growth
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 135.00 USD | Price: 93.26 USD
Fears driving multiple compression appear overblown 19 May 2026
We reiterate our Buy rating as we view OLLI as a beneficiary of today's choppy Equity
economic environment given its value proposition is resonating and driving trade down.
The multiple has rerated since 4Q earnings, and the stock is now trading at 16x P/E, Mary Sport
versus an average of 28x over the past year. We attribute the pullback to fears about the Research Analyst
BofAS
low-income consumer and concerns about lapping Big Lots bankruptcy tailwinds. We +1 646 743 0227
think fears are overblown given multiple drivers to support sales growth including access mary.sport@bofa.com
to better product, marketing improvements, and a strong real estate pipeline. OLLI Lorraine Hutchinson, CFA
Research Analyst
guided to F26 comp of 2% and GM of 40.5%, versus its typical algo of 1-2% comp and BofAS
40% GM. We view this as achievable as better product and marketing should support a +1 646 855 0951 lorraine.hutchinson@bofa.com
more consistent, L-MSD comp and healthy margin flow-through from here.
We think OLLI can offset higher freight with better buying
A key question heading into earnings is whether freight pressure will impact mgmt’s Stock Data
40.5% F26 GM target. We think OLLI can offset the bulk of margin pressure with better Price 93.26 USD
buying, lower tariff costs, and expense leverage. Because oil prices started rising in late Price Objective 135.00 USD
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