GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
ICG: FY26: A robust update that we think will be considered favourably by the market
Research evidence excerpt
ICG: FY26: A robust update that we think will be considered favourably by the market
21 May 2026
Specialty Financials
ICG
Industry issues discussed
Management made a number of points in the statement re the general industry
issues: 1) ICG does not operate any evergreen funds so is not directly exposed to the
current liquidity challenges faced by some peers. 2) Re AI disruption risks,
aggregate software company exposures are quantified at c.10% across the group's
portfolios (generally below peers, and these are noted as being "highly cash
generative companies"). 3) Management are cautious on the equity valuation
environment / credit conditions favouring borrowers over lenders / second order AI
concerns / geopolitical issues, so they will continue to be slow / disciplined in
deployment. 4) Management believe the high DPI nature of their funds
differentiates them vs. peers (i.e. investments that return high levels of cash to LPs,
not just theoretical NAV growth). 5) Management believe they remain big enough
to matter to all LPs but small enough to have adequate capacity to grow in
institutional alone.
Improved disclosures should make shareholder value drivers more visible
The company has also evolved its reporting disclosure to a full FRE / PRE / balance
sheet separated basis, more in line with peers. We think this will be a favourable
development for shareholder transparency, and will make clearer the key drivers of
shareholder value, which we believe to be significantly FRE biased. Whilst this also
entails less disclosure on balance sheet related items, we think this is consistent
with the group becoming a less balance sheet intensive business, and this making
up a smaller component of shareholder value.
Improved capital position = future capital returns?
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