GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
BXSL: Updating our estimates
Research evidence excerpt
BXSL: Updating our estimates
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
Kenneth S. Lee (Analyst)
(212) 905-5995, kenneth.s.lee@rbccm.com
Adam Fallis (Associate)
(646) 618-6529, adam.fallis@rbccm.com
May 17, 2026 Outperform
NYSE: BXSL; USD 24.02 Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Price Target USD 26.00 ↓ 28.00RESEARCH Updating our estimates Scenario Analysis*
Our view: Revising our estimates post 1Q. Non-accruals picked up q/q, Downside Current Price Upside
mainly driven by 3 names. Qtrly common div maintained at 77c/sh and our Scenario Price Target Scenario
updated model anticipates some support from spillover to maintain divs for 13.00 24.02 26.00 31.00
rest of 2026, though our model is pencilling in a div reduction in 2027. We 33% 21% 42%
continue to favor BXSL’s conservative risk profile, low expense model, and *Implied Total Returns
portfolio construction, and access to BXCI platform for originations flow. Key Statistics
We maintain our Outperform rating and revise PT to $26 (from $28). Shares O/S (MM): 232.3 Market Cap (MM): 5,579EQUITY Dividend: 3.08 Yield: 12.8%
Key points: NAVPS: 26.26 P/NAVPS:Avg. Daily Volume: 2,690,9990.91x
Our estimate changes: Our 2026/2027 NII/share estimates are being
revised downwards to $2.72/$2.50 (from $2.89/$2.78), as we factor in RBC Estimates
slightly more conservative leverage levels and updated asset yield and FY Dec 2024A 2025A 2026E 2027E
EPS, Core Basic 3.51 3.23 2.72 2.50 funding cost assumptions. Our PT is being revised to $26 (from $28), partly Prev. 2.89 2.78
driven by downward revision in our NAV/sh estimate, and is based on 1.0x P/E 6.8x 7.4x 8.8x 9.6x
our 2026 NAV/share estimate of $25.90 (previously 1.04x on our 2026 NAV/ BVPS Basic 27.39 26.92 25.90 26.00
share estimate of $27.01). Prev. 27.01 27.06
P/BVPS 0.88x 0.89x 0.93x 0.92x
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