GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
REGN: LAG3 Failure Turns Attention to Weak Pipeline; New PT $700
Research evidence excerpt
REGN: LAG3 Failure Turns Attention to Weak Pipeline; New PT $700
E 13.51 E 15.78 E 16.48 E 16.69 E 62.43 E
Geographic Atrophy (GA) readout in 4Q'26, but the data could be exploratory in nature Prior 13.15 E 14.98 E 15.34 E 15.11 E 58.73 E
and visual acuity improvement is not expected. Making it a minor catalyst. PNH data EPS: Quarterly EPS does not sum because of how REGN timed its
for Poze combo (C5) in Ph3 are also this year, but this is not being seen as a needle- share repurchases, which impacted the weighted average share count. Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities estimates, and Factset.
mover either. We are of the view that REGN may have to revisit its M&A plans to utilize its NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate
balance sheet to strengthen pipeline.
Mohit Bansal
Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
How to think about REGN valuation and stock now? We think Dupixent growth story Mohit1.Bansal@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8025
would continue here, but post Dupi concerns could keep multiple in check. HD Eylea IP is Zhengxi Sun, PhD
also being challenged. Stripping out early stage pipeline and assuming terminal growth Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
rate of -2% post 2035 would make us see REGN FV at ~$600/sh, which is likely the worst Zhengxi.Sun@wellsfargo.com | 929-793-1007
case scenario for the stock. Realistically, we think the stock could trade around $650- Sadia Rahman, PhD
$700/sh until investors get more comfortable around the pipeline. Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Sadia.Rahman@wellsfargo.com | 646-584-6948
Staying on sidelines. New PT $700 - We are removing Fianlimab from the model, which William Zhang
lowers our PT by ~$65/sh.
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