GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Salmar ASA: Post Results Agenda
Research evidence excerpt
Salmar ASA: Post Results Agenda
Equity Research
European Consumer Staples
20 May 2026
Salmar ASA
Post Results Agenda
First LookSupply growth is front-loaded and set to decelerate, with
FY26 guidance upgrade largely reflecting strong Q1 biology
rather than incremental upside, while structural regulatory SALM.OL/SALM NO EQUAL WEIGHT European Consumer
Staplesconstraints continue to cap meaningful volume expansion. NEUTRAL
Price Target NOK 560.00
Price (19-May-26) NOK 585.50
Supply outlook tightening through the year – SalMar management upgraded FY26 harvest Potential Upside/Downside -4.4%
guidance to ~330kt (inc scotland +10% YoY ), but emphasized that the increase largely reflects Source: Bloomberg, Barclays Research
strong biological performance already realized in Q1, implying limited incremental growth for
the remainder of the year. While global supply grew ~12% YoY in Q1, the company expects low European Consumer Staples
full-year supply growth (~2–3%), with Norway growing ~1–2%, indicating that industry supply Setu Sharda
growth will normalize meaningfully from H2 onwards. Management also highlighted that + 91 (0)22 6175 1934
regulatory constraints (licenses, biomass limits) remain binding, limiting the ability to translate setu.sharda@barclays.com
stronger biology into additional volumes, while offshore license conversion offers only gradual Barclays, UK
upside rather than near-term volume acceleration. Alex Sloane
+44 (0)20 3555 0645
Cost outlook improving into H2, with Q2 still reflecting temporary pressures – SalMar alexander.sloane@barclays.com
indicated that while costs are expected to remain broadly stable in Q2, a clear improvement is Barclays, UK
expected in H2, driven by strong biological performance, better site mix and volume scale. Q1
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