GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
European IT Services: BofA European IT Services Indicator: another decline in April
Research evidence excerpt
European IT Services: BofA European IT Services Indicator: another decline in April
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European IT Services
BofA European IT Services Indicator:
another decline in April
Price Objective Change
Indicator deteriorates sequentially in April 18 May 2026
The BofA European IT Services Indicator declined sequentially for the second Equity
consecutive month in April 2026, a further reversal of the steady improvement since Europe
June 2025 (see Introduction to the Indicator and the BofA European IT Services Indicator IT services
March 2026). Four out of six components deteriorated sequentially (European Aditya Buddhavarapu, CFA >>
Commission Economic Sentiment, EU Services PMI Business Expectations, global Research Analyst
earnings revisions ratio and offshore hiring activity), which we believe largely reflects MLI+44 (UK)20 7995 7318
concerns around the impact of the Middle East conflict. The Indicator’s six-month aditya.buddhavarapu@bofa.com
moving average was broadly flat. Historically, the Indicator leads average organic Frederic Boulan, CFA >>
Research Analyst
revenue growth of our basket (CAP, SOP, ATE) by three quarters. Therefore, we believe MLI (UK)
data over the next couple of months will be key to assess any impact on the growth +44 20 7995 7101
frederic.boulan@bofa.com
recovery path for IT services. While our IT Services coverage has very limited direct
Vivek Vasudeo
exposure to the Middle East, we continue to look for commentary on any signs of impact Data Science Rsch Analyst
from prolonged uncertainty. We expect our IT Services coverage to return to positive MLI (UK) +44 20 7995-3511
growth in 2026E with 2.1% organic revenue growth on average, after two consecutive vivek.vasudeo@bofa.com
years of negative growth.
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