GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
J.P. Morgan International FTM 20 May 26 European Infrastructure; US TMC Conference; Digging Deep; Jentech Precision Industrial Co.; Korea Autos; ASEAN Tech Hardware; Nifco (7988); Nedbank Group Ltd; Banco ABC and More
Research evidence excerpt
J.P. Morgan International FTM 20 May 26 European Infrastructure; US TMC Conference; Digging Deep; Jentech Precision Industrial Co.; Korea Autos; ASEAN Tech Hardware; Nifco (7988); Nedbank Group Ltd; Banco ABC and More
Global Equity Research
International First to Market 20 May 2026
Top Stories
European Infrastructure (Elodie Rall)
Post Q1 - Continue to prefer toll roads from here
Q1 results painted a mixed picture, with beats at Fraport (OW) and Ferrovial (OW, AFL) but notable misses for ADP (N) and
Aena (UW). Overall, the toll roads reported reassuring numbers and maintained guidance while the airports either withdrew
guidance or confirmed it on the condition that they assume limited impacts from the conflict. The sector has underperformed
the wider market since the conflict (-13% vs. SXXP -3%), reflecting traffic risk on elevated oil and jet fuel prices, as well as
rising yields, which are generally unsupportive of the sector, particularly long duration assets. Airports (-16%) have
underperformed vs the toll roads (-12%) since the start of the conflict, given greater risks from the conflict: see our notes (link)
and (link) but airports have de-rated slightly more (~13% vs. ~11%) on an EV/EBITDA basis, and given the ongoing traffic risk
to airports, we continue to prefer toll roads to airports in the absence of visibility on a resolution in Iran. Ferrovial remains our
preferred name, where we see catalysts from value crystallization at the NTO and potential Managed Lane project awards later
this year. We continue to prefer Eiffage (OW) to Vinci (N), noting the company's attractive valuation and lack of airport
exposure. Fraport remains our preferred airport, and we note that the company should be the greatest beneficiary of any
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