GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Marks & Spencer FY 26 first take - better than feared
Research evidence excerpt
Marks & Spencer FY 26 first take - better than feared
C A Z E N O V E Europe Equity Research
20 May 2026
Marks & Spencer Overweight
MKS.L, MKS LN
FY 26 first take - better than feared Price (19 May 26):327p
Price Target (Mar-28):440p
Our Take: This is a better than feared update from Marks & Spencer in our view. European General Retail
ACFY 26 PBT was a small beat, within which Q4 sales trends in FH&B were better Georgina Johanan, ACA
than expected, and the H2 Food margin was ahead of our forecast (providing some (44-20) 7134-5791
confidence on the margin outlook into FY 27). There is limited detail on current georgina.s.johanan@jpmorgan.com
trading but we understand from the company that FH&B sales are currently J.P. Morgan Securities plc
positive vs FY 25 levels. Guidance on FY 27 PBT is vague, with the company Fiyin Durojaiye
commenting that it expects profit growth to “resume” vs FY 25. Our assumption (44-20) 3493-0455
fiyin.durojaiye@jpmorgan.com
is that this means growth in the MSD% range or slightly above which would imply J.P. Morgan Securities plc
that cons could land in a range of £920-940m (JPMe £940m). Both key divisions
Shailja Maskara
are expected to make progress back towards FY 25 margins, with support from (91-22) 6157-3318
£120m of structural cost savings. Whilst this would imply a headline cut to cons shailja.maskara@jpmchase.com
of LSD%, we think that investors’ expectations had already moved lower (with J.P. Morgan India Private Limited
shorter term investors expecting £900-925m). On balance, with the business back
Specialist Sales contact details:to “BAU” and a confident tone on mid-term plans, and also in the context of a PE
of <10x on recovered forecasts, we expect the shares to move higher today. Olivia Petronilho - Specialist Sales -
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