GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Celsius Holdings Good Intentions but Bad Execution Present an Attractive Entry Point for Patient Investors
Research evidence excerpt
Celsius Holdings Good Intentions but Bad Execution Present an Attractive Entry Point for Patient Investors
J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research
20 May 2026
Celsius Holdings Overweight
CELH, CELH US
Good Intentions but Bad Execution Present an Price (19 May 26):$29.13
Attractive Entry Point for Patient Investors
Beverage, Household & Personal
We remain constructive on Celsius Holdings (CELH, Overweight, AFL) as near- Care Products
term headwinds to Celsius primarily driven by SKU optimization efforts, while Andrea Teixeira, CFA AC
admittedly larger than expected and exacerbated by sub-par execution, should set (1-212) 622-6735
the brand up well for a better medium to longer term for patient investors. Solid andrea.f.teixeira@jpmorgan.com
“core” portfolio performance appears to be masked by timing mismatches between Drew Levine, CFA
discontinued flavors falling out of the portfolio, timing of innovation, and (1-212) 622-0374
drew.levine@jpmorgan.com
execution of distribution gains/shelf-resets at retail. That said, we may be nearing
Shovana Chowdhury
peak headwinds for the brand as priority SKU ACV gains and improved shelf
(1-212) 270-2184
placements should be completed by the end of June (taking longer than expected) shovana.chowdhury@jpmorgan.com
and other timing headwinds subside (e.g., innovation lapping/timing). Moreover, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
Alani Nu continues to perform well, and we expect a strong contribution from
Purple Cotton Candy LTO in the coming weeks. Net-net, while execution/
communication remains a key frustration with CELH, we believe the current
valuation (16.7x NTM P/E vs. MNST ~36x and other NARTD peers ~21x) for a
company with ~c.20% market share of the secularly growing energy drinks
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