GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Publicis Groupe SA: LiveRamp = 1-2% accretion + some optionality
Research evidence excerpt
Publicis Groupe SA: LiveRamp = 1-2% accretion + some optionality
Equity Research
European Media
19 May 2026
Publicis Groupe SA
LiveRamp = 1-2% accretion + some
optionality
Deal is 1-2% accretive when removing already planned PUBP.PA/PUB FP EQUAL WEIGHT
M&A and could enable Publicis to continue to grow 4-5% Unchanged
organically if they get agentic transformation sales. European Media UnchangedNEUTRAL
Conversely, LRamp loss of independence could impact top Price Target EUR 95.00
line. As price paid is reasonable, seems like a sensible deal. Unchanged
Price (15-May-26) EUR 77.10
Potential Upside/Downside +23.2%
Publicis is buying LiveRamp (not covered) for US$2.17bn enterprise value and US$2.55bn Source: Bloomberg, Barclays Research
equity value. This equates to c. 11x 2027E EV/EBITA on consensus data while Publicis
trades on 7x. This also equates to a post-tax return in Year 1 of 6.6%, 1-2% EPS accretion Market Cap (EUR mn) 19607
when removing planned M&A (so not the 3% calculated by Publicis), and should add 30bps Shares Outstanding (mn) 254.31
to organic growth. So if LiveRamp continues to grow top line 9-10%, valuation makes Free Float (%) 87.64
sense to us. In our view, the main opportunities offered by LiveRamp are: (1) generate 52 Wk Avg Daily Volume (mn) 0.6
incremental revenues in new services / help continue to outperform peers; (2) revenue Dividend Yield (%) 4.86
synergies and (3) hide Sapient current low growth. The main risks are: (1) loss of Return on Equity TTM (%) 15.37
independence leads to customer loss (our math shows that 10% less LiveRamp revenues Current BVPS (EUR) 41.60
equate to 1.3% less headline EPS for Publicis); (2) international expansion does not Source: Bloomberg
happen; and (3) most other holding agencies develop similar capabilities.
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