GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Ryanair: Issues for debate post FY26 results
Research evidence excerpt
Ryanair: Issues for debate post FY26 results
Equity Research
European Transportation
19 May 2026
Ryanair
Issues for debate post FY26 results
Key issues include revenue trends, cost control, the Max-10s,
CEO contract terms and regulatory threats and opportunities.
RYA.I/RYA ID OVERWEIGHT
European Transportation NEUTRALWhat's the debate? This report provides a set of issues for investors to discuss with Ryanair
Price Target EUR 29.00management after its FY26 results on 18 May 2026.
Price (18-May-26) EUR 23.09
Top of the agenda: revenue trends, Max deliveries and regulatory threats and Potential Upside/Downside +25.6%
opportunities: Ryanair at its FY26 result did not provide a clear FY27 guide but indicated lower Source: Bloomberg, Barclays Research
profits YoY on unit revenue uncertainty and rising costs from fuel, ETS, maintenance and crew.
The outlook for Boeing deliveries has become more constructive with Ryanair sounding European Transportation
confident for Max-10 deliveries from January 2027. Political lobbying against environmental Andrew Lobbenberg
regulation and taxation remains high on Ryanair's agenda. Terms of the CEO contract extension +44 (0)20 3555 0639
are unknown. andrew.lobbenberg@barclays.com
Barclays, UK
View and valuation: We rate the stock Overweight with a three-stage DCF-defined price target
Rahul Singh
of €29.0. Ryanair continues to have a strong balance sheet, be profitable, and be cash- +91 (0)22 6175 2529
generative. We see Ryanair benefiting from strong fuel hedging and slower capacity growth in rahul.xb.singh@barclays.com
the current environment. If the crisis resolves, it would benefit with the sector. If the straits Barclays, UK
remain shut, it would gain strategically as weaker peers shrink or fail.
Marco Limite
+39 (0)2 6372 2582
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