Global Strategy "Quantamental Signal Ideas - Top & Bottom Ranked Stocks" Le Roux

Research evidence excerpt

Global Strategy "Quantamental Signal Ideas - Top & Bottom Ranked Stocks" Le Roux

Global Research

18 May 2026ab

Global Strategy Global Strategy

GlobalQuantamental Signal Ideas - Top & Bottom

Ranked Stocks Nicolas Le Roux

Strategist

nicolas.le-roux@ubs.com

+33-14-953 2118

Details on the methodology/model can be found in our Q-Series report Bhanu Baweja

bhanu.baweja@ubs.com

What are the model's recommendations today? +44-20-7568 6833

The market appears more focused on margin expansion and AI developments than on

Gerry Fowler

geopolitical and supply-driven inflation risks. While our fundamental analysts and Strategist

strategists may take a different view, at least in the short term, our quantamental gerry.fowler@ubs.com

framework reflects this shift, increasing its overall beta exposure. Energy, Utilities, Banks, +44-20-7567 5490

and Capital Goods remain the preferred industries, while Japan and the US are the

Paul Winter

favored regions. Analyst

paul-j.winter@ubs.com

Digging into the details, what key message is each signal cohort suggesting? +61-2-9324 2080

• Price (and earnings) momentum has returned, led by U.S. large caps, with Tech and Sean Simonds

Cyclicals as the main beneficiaries. Strategist

• Consensus Q1 expectations for the S&P 500 now point to revenue growth of 11.2% sean.simonds@ubs.com

and EPS growth of 28.4%, up from 9.6% and 15.1% just three weeks ago. These +1-212-713 2851

upward revisions make it increasingly difficult to remain underweight equities. Energy Julien Conzano

and Utilities continue to lead our earnings expectations and momentum scorecard. Strategist

• There is limited change in our regime model. The OECD G20 CLI continued to edge julien.conzano@ubs.com

higher in April, suggesting the expansion still has some momentum.