GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
KTAs from Tuopu Group Call; Expecting a Recovery in 2H
Research evidence excerpt
KTAs from Tuopu Group Call; Expecting a Recovery in 2H
China (PRC) | Autos & Auto Parts
Tuopu EquityMayResearch14, 2026
TARGET | ESTIMATE CHANGEKTAs from Tuopu Group Call; Expecting a
RATING BUYRecovery in 2H
PRICE Rmb67.09^
We hosted Tuopu for an online group call, Key messages include: 1)
Rmb79.50 (Rmb80.40) |
Mgmt lowered expectations for 1H26, but expected a recovery in 2H; PRICE TARGET | % TO PT +18%
2) The company pursues M&As amid industry consolidation, targeting 52W HIGH-LOW Rmb86.88 - Rmb43.30
tier-2 suppliers with solid customer bases but weak operating efficiency; FLOAT (%) | ADV MM (USD) 39.7% | 307.74
3) Thailand plant is positioned as a key production base for overseas MARKET CAP RMB113.1B | $16.6B
humanoid robot projects which is expected to start equipment installation TICKER 601689 CH
in 3Q. Details below. ^Prior trading day's closing price unless otherwise
noted.
2026 outlook. Mgmt lowered 1H expectations as they saw revenue/profit growth remained
challenging in 1H26 due to the sluggish growth in domestic auto retail sales, increased raw- FY (Dec) CHANGE TO JEFe JEF vs CONS
material prices, and elevated depreciation cost (D&A costs accounted for c.9% of sales in 2026 2027 2026 2027
1Q, vs historical average of c.5%). Cost pass-through discussions with OEMs tend to be REV +2% +3% NA NA
protracted, with compensation expected to be phased in from 2Q onward. But mgmt expects EPS -5% -3% -16% -19%
revenue/earnings growth to pick up in 2H. Meanwhile, Tuopu is advancing M&A amid industry
consolidation, focusing on Tier-2 suppliers with solid customer bases but weak operating 2026 (RMB) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
efficiency, including targets in thermal-management components. EPS -- -- -- -- 1.85
Overseas manufacturing footprint.
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