GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
ROL: 2026 Investor Day Takeaways
Research evidence excerpt
ROL: 2026 Investor Day Takeaways
Rollins, Inc.
Target/Upside/Downside Scenarios Investment summary
We see value in the pest control industry with ~80%+ customerRollins, Inc.
retention, contracted revenue, and positive pricing, which
75 125 Weeks 22DEC23 - 14MAY26 support revenue consistency and ~25% EBITDA margins;
70 TARGETTARGET 67.0067.00 meanwhile, low/negative working capital and capex support 65
60 strong free cash conversion. Over time, we see U.S. pest
55 CURRENTCURRENT 53.4253.42 control being a mid-single-digit grower; in a market where
50 scale matters, Rollins has ~20% share.
35 Potential catalysts: 1) Sustained organic revenue growth;
30 2) attractive M&A activity; 3) meaningful margin expansion
40m driven by 30%+ contribution margins; and 4) higher operating
30m
20m 10m leverage following technology initiatives.
2024 2025 2026
D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M
ROL US Rel. S&P 500 COMPOSITE MA 40 weeks Risks to rating and price target
Source: Bloomberg and RBC Capital Markets estimates for Target 1) Potentially shifting U.S. pest industry to become more
Valuation competitive (e.g., Terminix executing better; international
players aggressively expanding North America footprint); 2)Our $67 price target is based on ~47x our FY27E EPS in
operational/execution hiccups; 3) cost inflation (e.g., wages/line with the ROL's 5-year PE avg, given sustained organic
benefits, materials/supplies, fuel/vehicle); 4) acquisitiongrowth, margin expansion opportunities and a BS and FCF
integration challenges; and 5) weather fluctuations can causegeneration that supports ongoing accretive M&A. Our price
variability in financial results.target supports our Outperform rating.
Upside scenario
Our upside scenario could result in ~10% upside to our FY27E
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