GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Thoughts from Q1/26 On-Quarter Software Earnings
Research evidence excerpt
Thoughts from Q1/26 On-Quarter Software Earnings
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
Matthew Hedberg (Head of
Global TIMT Research)
(612) 313-1293,
matthew.hedberg@rbccm.com
Rishi Jaluria (Analyst)
(415) 633-8798,
rishi.jaluria@rbccm.com
May 14, 2026 Matthew Swanson (Analyst)
(612) 313-1237,
matthew.swanson@rbccm.com Thoughts from Q1/26 On-Quarter Software Earnings Dan Bergstrom (Analyst)
(612) 313-1254,RESEARCH Software fundamentals remain solid but post-print reactions remain dan.bergstrom@rbccm.com
Michael Richards (AVP) volatile (332) 204-5767,
Our view: As we wrap up Q1/26 on-qtr earnings, q/q revenue outperformance decreased slightly to michael.richards@rbccm.com
2.4% vs. 2.9% in a seasonally strong Q4. While ARR/billings beat expectations at a lower level than Simran Biswal (AVP)
(646) 618-6894,
revenue, they were consistent q/q at 2.1% beats vs 2.2% last quarter. As such, we believe software simran.biswal@rbccm.com
fundamentals remain generally solid despite the "AI is killing software" narrative. Perceived AI leaders Max Persico, CFA (Senior
continue to be the safe haven for investors as any blips or messy messaging in battleground names Associate)
(646) 618-6895,EQUITY continue to be pressured. Emerging trends from on-qtr earnings include potential disruptions from max.persico@rbccm.com
the Iran war and rising energy costs globally, more widespread RIFs in the name of AI efficiency, slight
pressure on NRR as renewals remain in focus and a more immediate shift on pricing and packaging in the
AI world. Our focus remains on ideas that can accelerate growth, benefit from AI trends/be relatively
insulated from AI narrative risks, and have idiosyncratic drivers. We come out of on-quarter earnings
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