GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Matt’s Mailbag: Most Disconnected Name and Why Did GMED and TNDM Trade Off?
Research evidence excerpt
Matt’s Mailbag: Most Disconnected Name and Why Did GMED and TNDM Trade Off?
SKS
to come (and we still view the Champion data positively for BSX and LAAC market). Competition, Pricing Pressure, Reimbursement
Further, a startup in the LAAC space indicated they believed they could get GMs to 90%
at scale and while we do not believe BSX can get all the way there, we believe the
Watchman is accretive to corporate gross margins and is likely a strong cash generator
too (something that is often lost on investors). There is a slowdown in urology too, but
that is likely fixable in the near term (though some competitive headwinds will likely
remain) but the recently approved PEN acquisition is, in our view, a clear positive for the
revenue outlook at BSX (as a reminder PEN delivered 15% overall revenue growth in
Q1 of this year). Consequently, we believe the outlook for BSX over the next couple of
years is still compelling and, as we have been saying for awhile now, the pipeline at BSX
(IVL, MCS, RDN, Therasphere, and new Agent indications) is the most compelling in all
large cap diversified Med Tech, that is absolutely not reflected in the stock, in our view.
We continue to recommend investors take advantage of the weakness in the stock this
year to accumulate positions in the name.
• Why did GMED and TNDM Trade Off So Much Late Last Week? When both
companies reported Q1 results last week, the stocks for each name rose nicely in after-
market trading as results were strong. However, during the conference calls, a couple
things for each name came out that ended up driving the stocks lower in trading on Friday
(and they have remained depressed since then). Starting with GMED, the pressure
points for investors from the call were NVRO revenue softness and commentary that
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