GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Q1/26 Mostly in Line
Research evidence excerpt
Q1/26 Mostly in Line
Metalla Royalty & Streaming - Block Summary Model
Income Statement 2025A 2026E 2027E
Revenue 12 21 38
Operating Costs 0 0 0 Valuation
G&A 7 5 4 MTA trades at 0.8x the NAV estimate at 5% and BMO metal
price assumptions, versus the royalty/streaming average Depreciation 2 3 5
of 1.8x. Our target price reflects 1.1x the 5% NAV/sh at BMO
EBITDA 1 14 32 metal price assumptions.
Tax 1 2 5
Upside Scenario 18.00
Adjusted Net Earnings (3) 9 22 Our upside scenario is based on a 30% increase to our
EPS $(0.03) $0.09 $0.23 target P/NAV multiple. This scenario could play out if new
accretive transactions are made, if existing portfolio assets Cash Flow Statement 2025A 2026E 2027E
enter production earlier than expected, with improving
CFO 4 14 29 clarity on material development assets in the existing
CFI (2) (2) (2) portfolio, or if metal prices are materially above BMO
forecasts.
CFF (2) (5) (7)
Free Cash Flow 2 12 27 Downside Scenario 6.00
Our downside scenario is based on a 60% decrease to FCF/Share 0.02 0.12 0.28
our target P/NAV multiple. This scenario could play out
Balance Sheet 2025A 2026E 2027E if existing portfolio assets experience interruptions or
Cash & Equivalents 10 17 36 operational challenges, time lines of development assets
are delayed, certain portfolio assets are not restarted, or
Long-Term Debt 15 8 0 metal prices are materially below BMO forecasts.
Total Assets 271 275 292 in CAD
Total Liabilities 19 11 2
-41% +38% +77%
Total Shareholders' Equity 252 264 289
Production & Cash Costs 2025A 2026E 2027E Downside Current Target Upside
Scenario Price Price Scenario
Total Gold Eq. Production (koz) 3 4 7 6.00 10.15 14.00 18.00
Price Assumptions 2025A 2026E 2027E
Key Catalysts Gold Price (US$/oz) 3,444 4,831 5,125
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