GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Q1/26 Results Well Above Expectations; Investor Day Highlights
Research evidence excerpt
Q1/26 Results Well Above Expectations; Investor Day Highlights
Vox Royalty - Block Summary Model
Income Statement 2025A 2026E 2027E
Revenue $17 $34 $40
Operating Costs 0 0 0 Valuation
EBITDA $14 $42 $33 VOXR trades at 1.2x the NAV estimate at 5% and BMO metal
price assumptions, versus the royalty/streaming average of Depreciation 7 10 8
1.8x. Our target price reflects 1.2x the 5% NAV/sh and 20x
Tax 1 0 4 our forward CFPS estimate at BMO metal price assumptions.
Adjusted Net Earnings 1 14 21
Upside Scenario $9.25
EPS $0.01 $0.20 $0.30 Our upside scenario is based on a 30% increase to our
Cash Flow Statement 2025A 2026E 2027E target P/NAV multiple. This scenario could play out if new
accretive transactions are made, if existing portfolio assets CFO 11 29 31
enter production earlier than expected, on improving clarity
CFI (74) (1) (1) on material development assets in the existing portfolio, or
CFF 62 (10) (3) if metal prices are materially above BMO forecasts.
Free Cash Flow (63) 28 30 Downside Scenario $4.25
FCF/Share (1.14) 0.40 0.43 Our downside scenario is based on a 40% decrease to
our target P/NAV multiple. This scenario could play out Balance Sheet 2025A 2026E 2027E
if existing portfolio assets experience interruptions or
Cash & Equivalents 8 25 53 operational challenges, timelines of development assets are
Total Assets 123 148 167 delayed, certain portfolio assets are not restarted, or metal
prices are materially below BMO forecasts.
Long-Term Debt 7 0 0 in USD
Total Liabilities 16 9 9
-32% +11% +47%
Total Shareholders' Equity 107 139 158
Gold Equivalent Production Downside Current Target Upside
Summary 2025A 2026E 2027E Scenario Price Price Scenario
4.25 6.28 7.00 9.25
Stream Portfolio (koz) 0 0 0
Royalty Portfolio (koz) 5 7 8 Key Catalysts
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