GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
J.P. Morgan Asia Technology Tracker 18 May 26 SMIC (0981); ISU Petasys; Samsung Electronics; Silergy Corp; SK hynix and More
Research evidence excerpt
J.P. Morgan Asia Technology Tracker 18 May 26 SMIC (0981); ISU Petasys; Samsung Electronics; Silergy Corp; SK hynix and More
wing to greater
market confidence in 2027E memory earnings and the elongated memory upcycle. Amidst ongoing LTA
discussions with CSP customers, we believe SKH is at a pivotal inflection point to drive structural changes
to the traditional memory business model. Given our belief that the memory S-D imbalance is unlikely to
ease anytime soon, we expect both memory makers and CSPs to strike LTAs, improving the quality of
memory earnings and ultimately acting as a re-rating factor (refer to our LTA deep dive report ). We raise
FY26-28E EPS esimates by 9-20% to reflect stronger pricing outlook (DRAM, NAND and HBM) and raise
our Dec-26 price target to W3M based on 8x FY26/27E EPS. We expect LTA to pave the path for memory
companies to be valued using a new valuation framework.
Global Memory Market, South Korea, Japan
Decomposing LTA contract details: Favorable LTA paves the path for a new valuation framework for
memory makers (Jay Kwon)
LTA status quo update. Since early-26, we believe the the impact of LTA on the memory industry has been
one of the fiercest debates: the bull camp arguing a strong earnings visibility that allows memory makers to
escape cyclicality and potentially re-rate vs. the bear camp arguing a weak business model with lack of
enforceability. Throughout the 1Q26 earnings season, we saw LTA deals crystallizing with multiple AI
component makers within our coverage flagging LTA opportunities (i.e. memory and SEMCO), which was
echoed by US tech peers including INTC (report). Within the memory industry, we have so far witnessed
three LTA cases: 1) MU disclosing a 5-year LTA with limited details (report); 2) NYT’s third-party private
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