GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Publicis Groupe (AO) | Buy | Bids for LiveRamp
Research evidence excerpt
Publicis Groupe (AO) | Buy | Bids for LiveRamp
Publicis Groupe Buy | Target Price: EUR98.00
Company description Management
Publicis is the third-largest advertising agency group in the world by revenues. Its Maurice Levy, chairman of supervisory board
main agency networks are Publicis Worldwide, Leo Burnett and Saatchi & Saatchi Arthur Sadoun, CEO
(all Creative), Starcom and Zenith (both Media), Publicis Health (Healthcare), Loris Nold, CFO
Epsilon (CRM) and Sapient (Business Transformation Consulting). Under the Key shareholders
Publicis Power of One plan, it has now aggregated its activities into four units, Free float 85.50%
Communications (Creative), Media (Media Buying), Healthcare, and Digital. Harris 7.20%
Elisabeth Badinter 7.10%
Blackrock 4.60%
Investment case Valuation methodology
Superior sales mix to agency peers, with 60% of net sales being Our fair value is based on a 80/20 weighting assigned to
Connected Media (growing at mid- to high single digits) and less historical mid-cycle versus low-cycle EV/sales and EV/EBITA, and
exposed to Technology (Sapient, 15% of sales) than consulting adjusted P/E multiples based on 2026 forecasts.
peers. M&A and a large lead versus peers in net new business We also compare Publicis' multiples with listed agency peers
wins since 2019, and again YTD, adds to growth visibility in the (Dentsu, Havas, Interpublic, Omnicom, WPP), and those of IT
event of a macro downturn. Service companies like Cap Gemini, which overlap with Publicis
Clients tend to gravitate even more towards measurable Sapient (15% of sales).
targeted advertising in a downturn. Generative AI could increase Risks to our rating
personalisation at scale and also drive efficiencies (headcount Growth more narrowly based than before, needs Sapient to
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