GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
1Q: Demand Accelerates for $750K Tickets to Space, Preparing for Launch Ahead
Research evidence excerpt
1Q: Demand Accelerates for $750K Tickets to Space, Preparing for Launch Ahead
Retailing/Specialty Stores: Luxury Brands
Virgin Galactic Holdings
TD SECURITIES (USA) LLC EARNINGS UPDATE
May 15, 2026
Price: $2.88 (05/14/2026) 1Q: Demand Accelerates for $750K Tickets to
Price Target: $4.50 Space, Preparing for Launch Ahead
BUY (1)
ESG SCORE: 55/100
Oliver Chen, CFA THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
646 562 1424
Pricing Power Takes Off With a Clearer Path to Positive Free Cash Flow In FY27. Most
oliver.chen@tdsecurities.com
incremental from 1Q, in our view: (1) first ~650 passengers to be recognized at ~$200–250K
Julia Shelanski through the initial ramp; (2) ~$750K tranche largely sold out with higher pricing ahead; (3)
646 562 1459 regulatory derisking following acceptance of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Part
julia.shelanski@tdsecurities.com
450 license application.
Jonna Kim, CFA
646 562 1419 We left the call with improved visibility into the path to a 4Q26 commercial launch, supported
jonna.kim@tdsecurities.com by near-term milestones (Unity glide flights in May; Delta ground testing in June) and, in
Gabriella Garr our view, a clearer runway to positive quarterly cash flow in FY27. Importantly, we are
646 562 1356 encouraged by derisking across several key areas in the quarter including: (1) acceptance of
gabriella.garr@tdsecurities.com the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Part 450 license application; (2) improved visibility
into initial flight economics, including revenue recognition at ~$200K–$250K for the first ~650
Key Data
passengers in the pipeline, with positive contribution margin even at legacy pricing; (3) strong
Symbol NYSE: SPCE
demand validation, with the ~$750K tranche largely sold out and the next tranche expected
Beta: 2.17
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