GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
The Goldilocks Scenario Played Out; Reiterate Buy
Research evidence excerpt
The Goldilocks Scenario Played Out; Reiterate Buy
TD Cowen DexCom
Global Research May 15, 2026
VALUATION METHODOLOGY AND RISKS
Valuation Methodology
Medical Supplies and Devices: Diabetes
Price targets are based on several methodologies which may include: analysis of market risk,
growth rate, revenue stream, discounted cash flows (DCF), EBITDA, EPS, cash flow (CF), free
cash flow (FCF), EV/EBITDA, P/E, PE/growth, P/CF, P/FCF, premium (discount) / average group
EV/EBITDA, premium (discount) / average group P/E, sum of the parts, net asset value, dividend
returns, and return on equity (ROE) over the next 12 months.
Our valuation methodology is primarily based on current year and forward year EV/Sales and
EV/EBITDA multiples, as well as current year and forward P/E multiples, total return/PE ratio,
market cap/free cash flow metrics, and dividend yield comps.
We make investment recommendations on certain early stage, pre-revenue companies based
upon an assessment of their business model, technology, probability of market success,
and the potential market opportunity, balanced by an assessment of applicable risks. Such
companies may not be assigned a price target.
Investment Risks
Risks to the Diabetes Device sector may include: regulatory processes and potential delays
in the commercial launch of new products, potential for pricing pressures from payor/CMS,
premium relative valuations, competition, and high levels of investment needed to compete
successfully, making profitability difficult.
We make investment recommendations on early stage diabetes device companies based upon
an assessment of their technology, the probability of market success (competitive, regulatory,
reimbursement, etc), and the potential market opportunity in the event of success. However,
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