GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
1Q26 First Take – Solid Qtr, but 2H Rev Ramp and CEO Succession Add Uncertainty
Research evidence excerpt
1Q26 First Take – Solid Qtr, but 2H Rev Ramp and CEO Succession Add Uncertainty
Israel | Software
Similarweb EquityMayResearch13, 2026
FLASH NOTE1Q26 First Take – Solid Qtr, but 2H Rev Ramp
RATING BUYand CEO Succession Add Uncertainty
PRICE $3.12^
Solid 1Q results at the high end of guidance, and a +70 bps raise to the low
end of full-year guidance, to +8.6-11.5% y/y, point to no further deterioration PRICE TARGET | % TO PT $4.50 | +44%
in demand. However, NRR flat q/q at 98%, despite record-high GRR, suggests 52W HIGH-LOW $10.75 - $2.22
upselling remains difficult. Onboarding a large AI provider, expansion of the AI FLOAT (%) | ADV MM (USD) 56.4% | 1.73
pipeline, and improving sales force productivity are positives, but a 2H implied MARKET CAP $270.2M
ramp and the CEO's plan to step down in mid-2027 add some uncertainty. TICKER SMWB ^Prior trading day's closing price unless otherwise
noted.
1Q results solid. Revenues of $73.9M (+10% y/y) were slightly below our estimate but above
consensus (JEFe: $74.2M, Consensus: $73.0M), and at the top end of guidance of $72-74M. This
was primarily driven by new sales, upsells, and growth in AI-related revenues, with the number of
Related Research
customers growing +5% y/y. Importantly, one of the two large AI providers that were expected to
onboard as clients in 4Q did sign this quarter. Meanwhile, talks with the other provider continue SMWB, SPT—Model Updates Post 4Q
to progress, alongside a pipeline of additional data deals. On profitability, adj operating margins of (3/2/2026)
3.2% were above expectations (JEFe: 2.7%, Consensus: 2.5%) and towards the high end of guidance
of 0.7-3.5%. Margins reflected cost management and improved sales productivity, leading to the 4Q25 First Take—Disappointing Results
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