GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Brazilian Retailers "UBS Shopping Cart: Website visits; eCommerce MAU" Strano
Research evidence excerpt
Brazilian Retailers "UBS Shopping Cart: Website visits; eCommerce MAU" Strano
observed so far. While we believe the broad-based DTC growth across categories
supports the view that SFER's turnaround remains on track, we do not expect the
release to materially improve market sentiment given the pause in sequential
topline acceleration. Following the Q1 print, we reduce our 2026E OSG by -60bp to
+3% (vs. +4% previously), reflecting more cautious commentary on wholesale. This
results in ~1% cuts to our sales estimates across 2026E-28E. The drop-through from
lower sales is partly offset by updated financial expenses, leading to modest EBIT
downgrades of ~€2m p.a. over the same period. Overall, we continue to view the Q1
print as indicative of stabilising momentum within SFER's turnaround journey, but
expect it to temper near-term market enthusiasm following recent share price
outperformance - stay Neutral. See full report here.
Burberry: Solid end to FY26 overshadowed by sentiment
Yesterday morning BRBY reported its FY26 results, which came in-line with cons on
LFL and ahead on H2 profits by +5%. The company delivered a healthy end to the
year with a sequential acceleration across major consumer clusters (Chinese +MSD
and Americans +HSD) and a solid gross margin beat, thus confirming the progress of
its turnaround, due to better full price sales and lower mark-downs. Despite the
confident tone from management, which stood out among peers in the uncertain
geopolitical context, the shares reacted negatively due to the lack of earnings
upgrades and very positive positioning heading into the print. With the results
ticking all the right boxes, we see yesterday's sell-off as a buying opportunity into
the best turnaround story in our coverage. We make no meaningful changes to our
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