GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Advanz Pharma: Weak numbers but as expected, our OW thesis intact
Research evidence excerpt
Advanz Pharma: Weak numbers but as expected, our OW thesis intact
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Advanz Pharma
Weak numbers but as expected, our OW
thesis intact
Earnings Review
Weak numbers but in line with expectations 15 May 2026
Advanz Pharma reported weak Q1-26 results but they were not as bad as feared, in our High Yield Credit
view. Revenue decreased -4% yoy and Adjusted EBITDA down -12% yoy, driven by Luxembourg
supply chain issues with Paliperidone and Lanreotide and contribution of the M&A which Pharmaceuticals
closed last quarter. Excluding the gain on disposal of the Indian marketing rights for Joshgun Garayev
Progynova, Adjusted EBITDA decline was -22% yoy. That said, Q1-25 was a higher comp Research Analyst
and benefitted from sizeable contribution from Ocaliva, Lanreotide and Paliperidone. MLI+44 (UK)20 7996 3126
Leverage increased to 5.9x in the quarter and management guided to peak leverage in joshgun.garayev@bofa.com
Q2 or Q3-26 before declining into the year end.
Bonds sold off more than 2 points into the call, which we thought was an over-reaction,
based on the following: 1) we had low expectations into the numbers, as guided by
NWC: net working capitalmanagement in Q4-25; 2) no cash burn in the quarter notwithstanding the large NWC
outflow and our expectation of slight positive FCF for 2026 at the current Q1-26 run
rate EBITDA; 3) high multiple realised on the Progynova India sale, an indication of a
lever available to management if needed; 4) confirmation that Lanreotide and
Paliperidone remediation works remain on track, and Lanreotide batches continued to be
released to the market and 5) biosimilar contribution for the first time.
We came away from the call relatively positively. Revenue and EBITDA guidance for
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