GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
This Is What Happens When ARPU Improves; Big Telecom EBITDA Beat
Research evidence excerpt
This Is What Happens When ARPU Improves; Big Telecom EBITDA Beat
TD Cowen Quebecor Inc.
Global Research May 14, 2026
VALUATION METHODOLOGY AND RISKS
Valuation Methodology
Communications
Our valuation methodology consists of primarily using a relative value approach. We arrive
at a fair value by applying an EV/EBITDA multiple to the wireless and wireline businesses.
For the Big Three, these EV/EBITDA multiples are adjusted depending on our current forecast
for the Government of Canada 10-year bond yield as compared to its long-term average.
For QBR, CCA, CGO and TRI, these EV/EBITDA multiples are indirectly adjusted based on the
macroeconomic environment and the current competitive dynamic of the industries in which
the company currently operates. We also take into account P/FCF, P/E and the dividend yield,
as applicable.
Investment Risks
Risks include, as applicable: (1) Companies within the telecommunications space are highly
regulated and adjustments to regulations could have a negative impact on business operations;
(2) Interest rates; (3) Increased competition in the wireline and wireless space amongst the
Big Three or from new entrants could negatively impact FCF and profitability; (4) Competitive
dynamics amongst incumbents and/or new technologies and/or product and service offerings
could impact the pricing/demand for current offerings (i.e. 5G wireless services could evolve
into substitutes for fixed-line broadband services); (5) A deteriorating macroeconomic
environment could reduce discretionary spending on wireline and wireless services and,
subsequently, valuation multiples; (6) Potential health risks from wireless devices and/or
transmission towers; (7) Macroeconomic cycles which impact spending decisions made by
clients and employments levels in the U.S.
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