GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
SUN: Well Positioned to Exceed 2026 Guidance
Research evidence excerpt
SUN: Well Positioned to Exceed 2026 Guidance
tory sale gain EPU, Ops 7.71 2.30 4.87 2.04
that SUN reported in 1Q26, which while we do not expect to repeat, Prev. 8.05 8.74
represents incremental cash that SUN can redeploy. Our 2026 estimates DCF/unit Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
also move higher on higher refining crack spread vs our previous estimate. 2025 1.98A 1.89A 2.04A 2.02A
2026 2.45A 2.92E 2.84E 2.55E
Fuel Distribution: Core Strength in Scale. SUN's Fuel Distribution segment Prev. 1.82E 2.52E 2.59E 2.14E 2027 2.47E 2.56E 2.70E 2.69E
generated solid results in 1Q26, with organic legacy volumes growing ~6% Prev. 2.23E 2.53E 2.41E
despite flat U.S. demand. The segment distributed 3.8BN gallons while EBITDA, Adj
maintaining $0.17/gallon margins through significant commodity volatility. 2025 458.0A 464.0A 492.0A 706.0A
2026 867.0A 969.2E 948.1E 883.9E Its resilience derives from its scale and proven gross profit optimization. Prev. 750.6E 903.4E 913.0E 810.6E
As Parkland integration accelerates, the platform becomes increasingly 2027 887.9E 912.4E 936.0E 937.7E
competitive and cash-generative, anchoring distribution growth. Prev. 850.1E 926.8E 944.4E 880.9E
Refinery: Embedded Upside. SUN's Burnaby refinery outperforms AllPricedvaluesas ofin priorUSD unlesstradingotherwiseday's marketnoted.close, EST (unless otherwise noted).
guidance after completing turnaround on time and budget. We expect
strong cracks to persist through 2Q26 and beyond, driven by Middle
East disruptions. While the smallest segment, the refinery hedges Fuel
Distribution margin compression and monetizes spreads across North
American and Pacific Basin markets. Integration into British Columbia
operations provides downside protection. We believe SUN maintains
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