GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
1Q26 Update: Hoping For Better Times Ahead
Research evidence excerpt
1Q26 Update: Hoping For Better Times Ahead
May 12, 2026
4540 Despite mixed Q1 performance, we continue to see several drivers to
3530 support Carvykti’s growth outlook in 2026 and beyond.
20 ●Earlier-line adoption is becoming an increasingly important part of the
05/25 08/25 11/25 02/26 05/26 Carvykti story.
LEGN Created by BlueMatrix
●In the U.S., 2-3L patients represented 41% of apheresed
patients in 1Q26 (up from 29% in 1Q25), while 5L+ declined to
33% from 41%.
●Management noted that 2-4L patients now make up ~2/3
of Carvykti orders, with the company expecting this to grow
toward ~3/4 over the next year or so.
●This speaks to growing community adoption, increasing
physician comfort with CAR-T logistics, and clinical data
supporting the idea that earlier use can drive better outcomes.
●In our view, investors continue to underappreciate Carvykti’s growing
foothold in 2-4L MM market, in terms of both its offensive and
defensive implications.
●The 2-4L market remains large and underpenetrated, with
management pointing to ~100K patients and only ~5% having
received BCMA-directed therapy.
●On the defensive side, we expect competitor anito-cel (GILD,
OW, C. Gould) to receive a label in 5L disease later this year. As
such we expect its initial impact on Carvykti to be limited.
●Relative to anito-cel, Carvykti has a ~4-year head start, a broader
2-4L label, extensive real-world experience, and differentiation
on hard clinical endpoints, including long-term OS benefit.
●Community adoption is also continuing to grow, with 148 ATCs now
online in the U.S. (up from 132 in the prior quarter), about one-third
of which are community and regional hospitals.
●Interestingly, fears that bispecifics are likely to impact Carvykti
sales also appear overblown.
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