GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Muthoot Finance: 4Q26: Earnings beat; gold loan growth momentum continues
Research evidence excerpt
Muthoot Finance: 4Q26: Earnings beat; gold loan growth momentum continues
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Muthoot Finance
4Q26: Earnings beat; gold loan growth
momentum continues
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 4,410 INR | Price: 3,531 INR
Earnings beat; Gold AUM growth strong at 10% QoQ 14 May 2026
Muthoot Finance (MUTH) delivered a strong quarter with +10% QoQ growth in gold loan Equity
AUM to INR1.54tn, attributable to resilient gold loan demand, supported by gold price
momentum and conservative environment for unsecured loans especially for non-
Key Changessalaried individuals. MUTH’s AUM grew by 50% YoY in FY26, surpassing the guidance.
The company delivered strong earnings beat with PAT at INR30.9bn (+105% YoY) (Rs) Previous Current
coming +19% above BofAe mainly on (i) higher NII at INR51.9bn (+79% YoY, +14% vs 2026E EPS 239.77 252.43
BofAe) mainly on pricing increase taken for certain type of loans, and some auction and 2027E EPS 258.38 262.56
ARC income, (ii) lower opex – cost to income moderated by 266bp QoQ, partly offset by 2028E EPS 276.39 286.18
(iii) higher provisions at INR2.4bn (vs INR1.6bn BofAe) with rise in GS-2/3 by 34bp/77bp,
which the company attributed to RBI’s borrower wise classification requirement, apart Pujita Pasumarthi >> Research Analyst
from which MUTH mentioned AQ has been broadly stable. Reiterate Buy with unchanged BofAS India
PO of Rs4,410. We revise our earnings forecasts by 2-4% as we factor in higher growth, pujita.pasumarthi@bofa.com
partly offset by higher provisions and opex. Further, we moderate stage-1/2 RoE and
increase beta, leading to an unchanged PO of INR4,410.
Stock Data
Risks: gold price decline, rising competitive intensity
New customer acquisition remains relatively muted with new customers taking fresh Price 3,531 INR
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