GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Daily Boarding: Copa 1Q26 review; Armac update & call highlights; ride-hailing credit lines
Research evidence excerpt
Daily Boarding: Copa 1Q26 review; Armac update & call highlights; ride-hailing credit lines
BZ rentals: government studying to launch credit lines for ride-hailing drivers
On May 12, Minister of the General Secretariat of the Presidency Guilherme Boulos
stated that the government could launch, in the coming days, credit lines aimed at
facilitating vehicle acquisition by ride-hailing and taxi drivers. According to the minister,
the initiative would likely follow a structure similar to the Move Brasil program (see: BZ
govt to extend credit line for trucks & buses), offering more favorable financing
conditions and reducing drivers' dependence on rented vehicles. We estimate that a two-
year rental contract of a new vehicle is currently ~13% cheaper than owning the same
vehicle and remains economically attractive even with financing rates as low as 15% (vs.
~13-14% in Move Brasil). We see a potential financing program for ride-hailing drivers
as potentially negative for car rental companies` (Localiza and Movida) RaC divisions.
We estimate RaC accounts for ~43% of Localiza's NPV. We maintain Buy on Localiza and
Neutral on Movida. See: Brazilian government studying to launch credit lines for ride-
hailing drivers
Exhibit 1: We rate as Buy: Localiza, Rumo, Motiva, Ecorodovias, Copa, Volaris, Marcopolo, Randon and GPS; as Neutral: WEG, Vamos and Movida; and
as Underperform: Armac, Hidrovias do Brasil, Mills, Fras-le, Iochpe and Tupy
Summary table of our coverage
Average
Market daily 2026 2027 Q-R-Q 2026 2027 2026 2027 Company Rating Price cap traded Dividend Dividend rating P/E P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBITDA (US$mn) value Yield Yield
(US$mn)
Localiza 1 - Buy C-1-8 43.1 9,862 89.9 11.1x 8.4x 5.4x 4.9x 1.5% 2.4%
Movida 2 - Neutral C-2-8 9.9 946 15.3 8.0x 4.6x 3.7x 3.7x 3.1% 5.4%
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