GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
JRAP Submission by October 1; No Change to Near-Term Outlook Post Q1/26 Print
Research evidence excerpt
JRAP Submission by October 1; No Change to Near-Term Outlook Post Q1/26 Print
Power & Utilities
Hydro One Ltd.
TD SECURITIES INC. - CANADA EARNINGS UPDATE
May 13, 2026
Price: C$58.57 (05/12/2026) JRAP Submission by October 1; No Change to
Price Target: C$58.00 (Prior C$57.00) Near-Term Outlook Post Q1/26 Print
HOLD (2)
ESG SCORE: 55/100
John Mould, CFA^ THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
416 944 6832
Hydro One's Q1/26 EPS of $0.65 was ahead of our estimate ($0.63) and matched consensus.
john.mould@tdsecurities.com
JRAP filing is expected by Oct 1. We have increased our target price to $58 from $57 (valuation
Ben Fullarton^ roll-forward); reiterate HOLD. At 25.4x FWD consensus P/E, Hydro One trades 5.8x above its
416 308 8209 10-year average valuation. We believe this justifies caution regarding the potential for further
ben.fullarton@tdsecurities.com
multiple expansion.
Key Data
Symbol TSX: H-T Hydro One reported Q1/26 results this morning before market open. EPS of $0.65 was ahead
12-Month Div (Est.): C$1.41 of our forecast of $0.63 and matched consensus.
Beta: 0.41
Impact: Neutral
12-Month Total
1.4%
Return:
We have increased our target price to $58 (prev. $57); we reiterate our HOLD rating. We
52-Week Range: C$60.17-C$47.89
have rolled our valuation forward to be based 75-25% 2027/2028 (prev. 100% on 2027). We
Market Cap: C$35.5B
believe Hydro One's pure-play characteristics and transparent growth outlook justify its
Net Debt (MM): C$19,080.0
premium valuation.
Cash/Share: C$0.06
Dil. Shares Out (MM): 599.8 LDC Consolidation. Ontario's municipal election calendar (fall 2026) likely puts a pause on
Float Shares (mm): 317.4 any LDC consolidation activity; management suggested it was unlikely within the next ~18-24
Float Cap ($mm): C$18,590 months.
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