GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Post-1Q Weakness Seems Overdone
Research evidence excerpt
Post-1Q Weakness Seems Overdone
ny unknowns and variables that are EPS +3% +1% -2% -1%
difficult to control for.
2026 ($) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
Lack of clarity on 1st-line peto study upsizing has frustrated investors: Debate over the
EPS -- -- -- -- 10.44
implications of the 1st-line peto trial upsizing is challenging to explain away without added
management rationale; hence, we await company commentary to help contextualise. While PREV 10.09
HPV-ve enrichment would likely benefit the overall survival analysis, we do appreciate that the
resultant readout timelines between Genmab and competitors could narrow.
JEFe event accrual projections based on our
Rina-S Phase III acceleration is a positive: Genmab's confirmatory Phase III for Rina-S in simulated enrolment curve and potential 2-
year PFS rates for the 1st-line Epkinly DLBCL-22nd+line platinum-resistant ovarian cancer (PROC) is now expected earlier in 2H26E, enabling study
earlier global filings. Here, Genmab was already notably ahead of the competition, while the
earlier confirmatory trial readout may also reduce the likelihood that competitors will be able
to file under accelerated approval. It also remains possible that endometrial studies have
enrolled faster than originally anticipated, suggesting the potential for other indications to
launch globally earlier than planned.
Reiterate Buy: Recent acquisitions of oncology assets Peto and Rina-S provide a credible long-
term growth path, suggesting that the terminal value risk from the loss of Darzalex royalties
in 2029E+ is now reduced. As a result, we believe Genmab is now set for a catalyst-rich 2026,
with the upside skew perhaps the most attractive in our large-cap coverage universe. .
Source: Jefferies research, EU Clin Trials Protocol, CT.gov,
NEJM
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