GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
NXT: Updating Model for 250MW Contract Win & Recent Capital Raising Activity
Research evidence excerpt
NXT: Updating Model for 250MW Contract Win & Recent Capital Raising Activity
rated hyperscaler under an approximately 15-year contract, with EBITDA Revenue:EBITA, Adj:RevenueUnderlyingexcludingEBITDAinterestas reportedincomeby the company
conversion expected progressively from FY26 through FY30. AllPricedvaluesas ofin priorAUD unlesstradingotherwiseday's marketnoted.close, EST (unless otherwise noted).
• Capital Raising and Liquidity: The Company raised approximately A
$1.5 billion through a fully underwritten 1-for-5.4 pro-rata entitlement
equity offer at A$12.70/sh, alongside a A$1.7 billion Hybrid Securities
commitment from CDPQ. Pro forma liquidity is estimated at
approximately A$5.9 billion, rising to approximately A$8.4 billion with
additional planned senior debt and Wholesale Notes. FY26 capex
guidance was increased by A$300 million to A$2,700 million–A$3,000
million, with FY27 capex forecast at approximately A$5.0 billion, entirely
tied to contracted demand.
• Financing and Capital Structure Strategy: The Company outlined plans
to ring-fence individual assets into separate financing vehicles, with
customer contracts underwritten directly by lenders rather than relying
on NEXTDC's broader balance sheet, an approach similar to ABS-style
or project-finance-style funding expected to support higher leverage
capacity and lower funding costs over time. Capital recycling or JV
structures at S4 and S7 are intended to be pursued once assets are
delivered and cash-generating, with no fixed stake or structural detail
disclosed, ahead of any private capital partnership from 2027.
• Model update: Our FY26/FY27 estimates are mostly unchanged for
revenues of A$485/A$761M million and Underlying EBITDA of A$233/
A$365M. FY26/FY27E total capex increases to A$2,901/A$5,073M,
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