GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
EURAZEO (+) : Q1-26 trading update
Research evidence excerpt
EURAZEO (+) : Q1-26 trading update
Investment case, valuation and risks
Eurazeo (Outperform, Target Price EUR67)
Investment case
Eurazeo's shift to a dual business model reduces its risk profile in our view and should
be a catalyst for a re-rating and a reduction in the discount to NAV. Growth in third-
party asset management is rapid and should remain strong over the next 6 years. But
reaching the aim of having >50% of the EV tied to asset management will be a long
process given the current split is 25% in asset management and 75% from the
investment portfolio. However, support from management and the main shareholders
to accelerate this transition could be major catalysts in the short to medium term.
Indeed, the company intends to accelerate the rotation of its balance sheet along with
reducing the re-investment needs. This would free up a significant amount of cash to
reinvest in asset management through M&A and do sizeable share buybacks. Both
moves could trigger a re-rating.
Overall, the investment portfolio is of good quality in buyout but 25% of Eurazeo's
portfolio is invested in venture and growth where many companies are not profitable.
This warrants caution.
Valuation methodology
Our TP is based on an SOTP where we value the fund management company separately
with FRE post tax 2027 valued on 12x for the private assets, 6x for FRE coming from IM
Global and PRE at 40% discount to the private assets FRE multiple. We apply a 40%
discount to the investment portfolio ex growth and venture for which we use a 50%
discount.
Risks
To the upside:
Eurazeo delivers on its portfolio exit programme and uses the cash for M&A to grow in
asset management and increase share buybacks. The third-party asset management
business scales faster than expected.
To the downside:
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