GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Downgrade: Too early to call the bottom
Research evidence excerpt
Downgrade: Too early to call the bottom
Macquarie Equity Research Korea Electric Power
Key Risks to Investment Thesis Company Description
• Upside: Progress in Team Korea's participation in US nuclear Korea Electric Power (KEPCO) is a state-owned electricity
projects, potential electricity tariff increases. utility monopoly, with an integrated business model spanning
• Downside: Potential industrial customer exit amid the power generation, transmission, distribution, and sales of
Direct Power Purchase regime (DPP), further increases in electricity. KEPCO purchases electricity from KPX and supplies
commodity prices. it to end-users, generating power through its six wholly owned
subsidiaries.
Figure 1 - KEPCO: Higher oil prices add upward Figure 2 - KEPCO: Historical P/BV band
pressure on input costs
(Won)
(Won tr) 100,000
90 20% 90,000
10% 80,000
0% 70,000 0.80x 60
50 -10% 60,000 0.65x
40 -20% 50,000
30 0.50x
-30% 40,000
-40% 30,000 0.35x 10
20,000
0 -50% 0.20x
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E 10,000 0
2010 2011 2013 2015 2016 2018 2020 2021 2023 2025 Fuel cost Purchased electricity % OPM (RHS)
Source: Bloomberg, Company data, Macquarie Research, May 2026
Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, May 2026
Korea Electric Power (015760 KS) KRW/(bn) unless otherwise noted
Income Statement Dec FY 2025A 2026E 2027E 2028E Q1/26A Q2/26E Balance Sheet 2025A 2026E 2027E 2028E
Revenue 97,429 97,970 100,546 102,512 24,399 22,088 Cash 5,270 7,077 7,441 6,826
Cost of Goods Sold 80,705 84,114 79,813 81,766 19,896 18,906 Receivables 12,519 12,588 12,919 13,172
Gross Profit 16,725 13,856 20,734 20,746 4,503 3,182 Inventories 10,153 10,582 10,041 10,286
EBITDA 27,279 23,672 30,555 30,358 7,263 5,665 Investments 2,975 4,462 6,693 10,040
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