GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
LNG/CQP: Post Q1 Update—Raising 2026 Ests—Stay OW on LNG
Research evidence excerpt
LNG/CQP: Post Q1 Update—Raising 2026 Ests—Stay OW on LNG
Equity Research
Earnings Revised — May 11, 2026
Midstream Energy
LNG/CQP: Post Q1 Update—Raising 2026 Ests
—Stay OW on LNG
Our Call Michael Blum
Q1 beat and Cheniere raised 2026 EBITDA guidance. The increase was anticipated, given Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Michael.J.Blum@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5037
wider int'l spreads, but higher production was an incremental positive. We still expect
Praneeth Satishpositive momentum on LT contracting. Maintain OW on LNG and UW on CQP.
Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Praneeth.Satish@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8056
We Stay Bullish On Potential Expansions. We continue to expect global LNG buyers Ned Baramov, CFA
to increase exposure to US markets given security of supply considerations. This should Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
accelerate FIDs of new capacity for Cheniere and other developers. While contract activity Ned.Baramov@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8021
has not yet increased, it is worth noting that buyer response following the Russia–Ukraine Eric Shiu
war lagged the spike in spot prices by 2-3 quarters. Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Eric.Shiu@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5038
LNG Share Weakness Is A Buying Opportunity. Following a Q1 beat-and-raise, LNG Jack Farrell, CFA
shares are down 8.2%, underperforming AMNA (-0.4%) and the S&P 500 (+0.5%). Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Jack.L.Farrell@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8012
Underperformance may reflect investor concerns around: (1) a potential Middle East de-
escalation compressing margins and reducing the need for U.S. supply, (2) the viability of
future expansions given the number of competing projects, and (3) fading expectations
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