GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
U.S. Large Cap Banks "Illustrating C's ROTCE walk with de-reg tailwind" Najarian
Research evidence excerpt
U.S. Large Cap Banks "Illustrating C's ROTCE walk with de-reg tailwind" Najarian
Global Research
13 May 2026ab
U.S. Large Cap Banks Equities
AmericasIllustrating C's ROTCE walk with de-reg tailwind
Financial
Erika Najarian
GSIBs likely to swing back in favor vs. regionals Analyst
We think GSIBs could swing firmly back into favor vs. regionals as investors contemplate erika.najarian@ubs.com
"the bargain bin" following the sector's historic level of recent underperformance vs. +1-212-713 2491
the broad market. We see three factors under consideration here: Zachary Westerlind
Associate Analyst
Higher for longer better for GSIBs. CPI print yesterday cements the "higher for zachary.westerlind@ubs.com
longer" narrative, which makes deposit gathering and cost control more +1-212-713 2404
challenging for regionals especially given still-solid loan growth; moreover, GSIBs
Chintan Prakash
are naturally more "asset sensitive."
IB data looks solid despite uncertain April. Industry data suggests that GSIB chintan.prakash@ubs.com
advisory revenues are up 35%, ECM up 5%, and DCM up 14%, on a YoY and +1-212-713 3061
"quarterized" basis...and recent color from management teams suggest that the Charles Brennan
M&A market has improved since the start of the Iran conflict (GS's John Waldron Associate Analyst
to the media), suggesting the second half of the quarter could track even stronger charles.brennan@ubs.com
+1-212-713 2227 than these numbers would seem to indicate.
Markets data continues to be resilient. While we don't yet have data points on
trading (the next update will likely come at an early June competitor conference),
recent color from JPM (also to the media) suggests that markets activity remains
strong, with one executive noting that the quarter has been "booming".
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