GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
LatAm Transport and Capital Goods "Daily Take-Off: EMBJ, RENT, TUPY, CPA..."
Research evidence excerpt
LatAm Transport and Capital Goods "Daily Take-Off: EMBJ, RENT, TUPY, CPA..."
andscape. The company's profitability is
sensitive to commodity prices (including copper and steel) and its ability to pass-through
cost increases to customers. In addition, WEG is exposed to political risks, especially
regarding tax and trade policy worldwide, as well as tax incentives in Brazil. Possible
upside risks include a recovery in global capex, investments in Brazil, increase in
infrastructure auctions, market share gains, new product launches, accretive M&A
announcements and profitability expansion. Lastly, headwinds caused by the
termination of the JCP (interest on equity) can add additional downside risk.
RENT is subject to local macroeconomic conditions and negative economic
developments: GDP growth, inflation and interest rates could have an adverse impact on
the company's results. In addition, company-specific risks include cost of growth and
proper execution of growth strategies.
Our 12-month price target for MYPK is derived from an EV/EBITDA multiple . The
automotive industry is very sensitive to abrupt changes in the domestic macroeconomic
environment, and any slowdown could weigh on the sector. Besides the macro effect, the
sector is also exposed to risks related to operating performance and the competitive
landscape. We outline tight credit, a lack of government incentives and labor cost
inflation as the main risks to the automotive industry in Brazil. The steel sector (and
other commodities) and underlying supply and demand are heavily influenced by trends
in global economic conditions and currency volatility, in addition to raw material price
fluctuations. Regulatory risk is also material, given continuously changing mining laws
and royalty regulations.
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