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Latin America Retail & eCommerce: Lowering ratings on ALPA, AZZA, LREN and NATU on cross-border tax cuts
Research evidence excerpt
Latin America Retail & eCommerce: Lowering ratings on ALPA, AZZA, LREN and NATU on cross-border tax cuts
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Latin America Retail & eCommerce
Lowering ratings on ALPA, AZZA, LREN
and NATU on cross-border tax cuts
Rating Change
Executive order effectively cuts tax from 44.6% to 20.5% 13 May 2026
Brazil’s presidential administration announced a decree striking down federal taxes on Equity
cross-border eCommerce purchases of $50 and below. Values include freight and effectively Latin America
cut prices on low value imports by nearly 17% (Exhibit 3). Prior duties failed to create tax Retail & eCommerce
symmetry and cross-border eCommerce growth accelerated since lapping implementation of Robert E. Ford Aguilar, CFA
the tax in 2025 (Exhibit 4). The decree makes no compensatory adjustments for landed Research Analyst
inventory for retailers nor attempts at isonomy for the tax burden paid by local BofAS+1 646 855 5439
manufacturers, placing their value propositions at greater risk. The decree is effective robert.e.ford@bofa.com
immediately, and given upcoming elections, appears unlikely to face political opposition. Melissa Byun, CFA
Research Analyst
BofAS
+1 646 855 3177We are lowering our rating on AZZA to Underperform
melissa.byun@bofa.com
We lower our rating on Azzas (AZZA) from Neutral to Underperform and our PO from
Gustavo Fratini >>
R$28 to R$17 as we lower both our estimates and target multiple. Our price objective is Research Analyst
now based on 6x our 2027E EPS (vs. 7x previously), representing a discount to local Merrill Lynch (Brazil)
+55 11 2188 4541
peers and reflecting ongoing competitive and execution risks as well as governance gustavo.fratini@bofa.com
concerns. We are lowering our adj.
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