GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Takeaways From Our Well-Attended NYC Afghan Lunch
Research evidence excerpt
Takeaways From Our Well-Attended NYC Afghan Lunch
d 6-week Ph3 Dominic Lorenzi
NOVA-2 (NCT07363577) in n=~460 acute schizophrenia patients with primary endpoint Research Analyst, Piper Sandler & Co.
of change from baseline in PANSS is progressing well with topline 2H27. With this, mgmt 646 951-0692, dominic.lorenzi@psc.com
noted Ph3 NOVA-2 does not have an interim analysis where topline 2H27 will serve as the Changes Previous Current
next clinical data catalyst for LB-102 while mgmt also has ongoing mechanistic studies. Rating — Overweight
See pgs. 3-4 Price Tgt — US$78.00
2. Accordingly, Ph3 NOVA-2 is ~85% powered to show a placebo-adjusted 6-point delta in FY26E EPS US$(3.76) US$(3.70)
PANSS at Week 6 where LBRX has not disclosed standard deviation assumptions though FY27E EPS US$(4.33) US$(4.28)
they are in-line with other trials. Further, mgmt detailed Ph3 NOVA-2 is not powered on FY26E Rev (mil) — US$0.0
negative symptoms and cognition, though they are both being measured as secondary FY27E Rev (mil) — US$0.0
endpoints where the data can be published to serve as a strong reference point (in tandem 52-Week High / Low US$33.47 / US$13.36
with potential approval in acute schizophrenia). See pg. 4 Shares Out (mil) 28.7
3. When asked about dose selection, mgmt expressed they chose 50 mg (vs 75 mg) LB-102 Market Cap. (mil) US$937.6
because there was not much difference observed across efficacy/safety in Ph2 NOVA-1. Avg Daily Vol (000) 249
Div Yield 0.00%Additionally, the FDA tends to like a lower dose where a high- and low-dose can also be
Fiscal Year End Dec
useful from a commercial perspective to provide physicians/patients with optionality. See
pg. 4
4. Further, mgmt reminded us LB-102 is a methylated derivative of amisulpride which
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