GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Doximity, Inc.: Double whammy of softer revenue outlook and increased investment
Research evidence excerpt
Doximity, Inc.: Double whammy of softer revenue outlook and increased investment
6mn, Exhibit 1 . The Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare
framework
company repurchased $91mn of stock in the quarter and has $493mn remaining in ** = Based on consensus methodology
§ = Consensus data is provided by Refinitiv Estimates
the existing repurchase program. Guidance for Q1 revenue and EBITDA is 1% and 12% e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
below the Street ( Exhibit 2 ). FY27 revenue guidance of $664-676mn represents 4% Quarterly EPS ($)
y/y growth at the midpoint. EBITDA guidance is $323-335mn, below the Street at Quarter 2026 2027ePrior Current2027e 2028ePrior Current2028e
$697mn and $373mn. Q1 0.36 0.35 0.29 0.41 0.37
Q2 0.45 0.42 0.37 0.47 0.44
Expect the stock to remain in the penalty box near term but still see value. We Q3 0.46 0.50 0.45 0.56 0.52
Q4 0.26 0.36 0.31 0.42 0.37
are disappointed in the growth outlook, which is counter to trends we have been
e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
hearing for the HCP digital ad industry (see - Checks show modest improvement in
pharma ad spend against low expectations). That said, a change in CFO also likely
influenced what appears to be conservative FY27 (March year-end) guidance.
Positives that will likely get overlooked today but ultimately drive value: 1) Sharp
uptick in engagement, including 30% y/y growth in active prescribers using
workflow tool to 800K+. 2) Clearer path to AI monetization (a couple of top
Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with
pharma wins for new AI search within a few weeks of the product becoming companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result,
investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of
available). 3) New President - Dr.
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