GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Softbank Group: Mar Q Results: NAV Expansion vs. End-Dec Reached +54%
Research evidence excerpt
Softbank Group: Mar Q Results: NAV Expansion vs. End-Dec Reached +54%
Update
May 14, 2026 12:15 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co., Ltd.+MSoftbank Group (9984) | Japan Tetsuro Tsusaka, CFA
Equity Analyst
Mar Q Results: NAV Expansion Tetsuro.Tsusaka@morganstanleymufg.comLuyuan Yang, CFA +81 3 6836-8412
Luyuan.Yang@morganstanleymufg.com +81 3 6836-8423
vs. End-Dec Reached +54% Keiji Nishimura
Research Associate
Keiji.Nishimura@morganstanleymufg.com +81 3 6836-8424
Reaction to earnings
Softbank Group (9984.T, 9984 JT)
Unchanged In-line Largely unchanged
Internet & Media | Japan
Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS Stock Rating Equal-weight
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research Industry View In-Line
Price target ¥4,000
Shr price, close (May 13, 2026) ¥6,012
Vs. forecasts: Recent NAV was broadly in line with our tracking. The NAV discount Mkt cap, curr, basic (bn) ¥34,571.3
currently stands at around 30%, which appears fair based on historical levels given Avg daily trading value (bn) ¥346.6
the company’s aggressive AI-focused investments and visible investment pipeline for
this fiscal year.
Recommended action: Key AI-related assets now account for roughly 65% of total
portfolio value. We think continued market interest in the AI investment theme
should remain supportive of the company’s share price.
NAV changes (vs. end-Dec): Total NAV +54%; ARM +43%; SVF overall +18%. ARM
and SVF, the company’s core AI assets, were the primary contributors to NAV
expansion.
Contribution to investment asset appreciation (vs. end-Dec): ARM 55%; SVF 50%.
The vast majority of value appreciation was driven by these core assets.
Exhibit 1: Summary
F3/26 4Q (jpy bil)
Net Asset Value Actual QoQ
Adj.
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