GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Cellebrite Solid Results with Accelerating Growth and Margin Expansion
Research evidence excerpt
Cellebrite Solid Results with Accelerating Growth and Margin Expansion
J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research
14 May 2026
Cellebrite Overweight
CLBT, CLBT US
Solid Results with Accelerating Growth and Margin Price (14 May 26):$13.12
Expansion Price Target (Dec-26):$20.00
Software - Large Cap / Mid & Small
Cap
Brian Essex, CFA AC
(1-212) 622-5990
brian.essex@jpmchase.com
Solid quarter with catalysts confirmed and Genesis AI traction ahead of Alex Isaac
internal expectations. Cellebrite delivered healthy 1Q results with a slight beat on (1-212) 622-9159
alex.isaac@jpmorgan.com
revenue, profitability well over expectations, and guidance implying ARR
John Lee
acceleration into 2Q. FY26 guidance for revenue and ARR were reiterated but
(1-212) 622-6064
guidance does not include any AI contribution in spite of strong initial customer john.h.lee@jpmorgan.com
interest in emerging AI products. Management commentary was positive on most J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
binary catalysts we were focused on heading into the print, including: achievement
of FedRAMP High certification (May 6, DOJ sponsor), worldwide general
availability of Guardian Investigate, Genesis approaching GA with 500+ early Quarterly Forecasts (FYE Dec)
users (vs. expectations for 1-2 dozen), announcement of advanced iOS unlock Revenue ($ mn)
2025A 2026E 2027E
capabilities, and Federal spending materializing with compressed procurement Q1 108 128A 157
timelines. The company also sized its AI related TAM at $12.5bn, noting that AI Q2 113 132 164
could double the size of the company - a claim we do not find too aggressive Q3 126 152 176
Q4 129 157 187
considering the value proposition of the platform and current ARR just under FY 476 570 684
$500mm. 2Q ARR guidance of $510-513mm implies $17-20mm of net-new ARR
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